Access detailed climate projections and understand
how these changes affect food security and discover
recommendations for climate resilience.
Climate projections are presented for the future periods 2030, 2050, and 2070 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5 (SSP2-4.5) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5) scenarios to assess potential changes in precipitation and temperature patterns. The evaluation, based on an ensemble of multiple climate models, encompasses key climate variables to capture different aspects of variability and extremes.
To understand shifts in long-term precipitation patterns, climatological precipitation is presented, identifying changes in baseline rainfall conditions across different time periods. Interannual precipitation variability is examined to assess year-to-year fluctuations, while monthly precipitation trends provided insights into potential shifts in seasonality and the distribution of wet and dry periods.
Temperature projections included minimum temperature (tasmin), maximum temperature (tasmax), and mean temperature (tas_mean) to evaluate future warming trends and the intensification of extreme heat and cold events. Additionally, the assessment of potential changes in drought conditions using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) at 3-month (SPI3) and 12-month (SPI12) timescales, capturing both short- and long-term variations in water availability is presented.
The State of Grenada consists of three islands- Grenada, Carriacou and Petite Martinique which form the southern end of the Windward Islands.
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